Islamic Demographics and Europe

Here are some recent figures on the demographics of the ten most populaous countries in Europe, and the ten most populous Muslim countries in the world (ie, >60% Muslim). Turkey is in both groups of course.

Ten Most Populous Countries in Europe:
Country Name // Birth Rate // Fertility Rate
1. Russia // 10.7 // 1.41
2. Germany // 8.2 // 1.41
3. Turkey // 18.4 // 2.21
4. France // 12.2 //1.98
5. UK // 12.0 // 1.66
6. Spain // 10.8 // 1.31
7. Poland // 9.5 // 1.28
8. Romania // 9.8 // 1.39
9. Netherlands // 11.1 // 1.66
10. Greece // 9.3 // 1.37
(Red indicates a TFR below replacement level--all countries but Turkey are below replacement level.)

Ten Most Populous Muslim Countries (over 60% Muslim)
1. Indonesia // 18.7 // 2.31
2. Pakistan // 27.2 // 3.6
3. Bangladesh // 24.8 // 2.74
4. Egypt // 24.2 // 2.66
5. Turkey // 18.4 // 2.21
6. Iran // 20.3 // 1.71
7. Sudan // 31.5 // 4.48
8. Algeria // 20.8 // 1.79
9. Morocco // 20.5 // 2.51
10. Afghanistan // 48.2 // 6.53

The first column is births per 1000 people, and the second is the avg number of children a woman will give birth to during her life.

Comments

Don said…
Note the outliers in the Muslim countries.

"Spenger" (who now outed himself) has been harping on the Iranians' low birthrate. He reiterates that here. His idea is that Ahmadinejad is racing against time and a dropping birthrate to extend Iran's power via nuclear weapons, much as Hitler tried to do for Germany with World War II.

Evidently the Algerians' problem is that they hang around the French too much. The French have had problems with their birthrate from the Third Republic onward, something that worked against them in World War I.
Abu Daoud said…
I have read Spengler on the demographics of Iran, a very fascinating situation there...

RE Algeria, the fertility rate has gone down (1.8), but that is still higher than anywhere in non-Muslim W. Europe.

Also, if you look at the growth rate you will see that Algeria is still growing at a good clip, probably because while women are having fewer children, many of the women there are young right now. In Europe, women are having many fewer children, and the women are NOT young.

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